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May Day Severe Outbreak (isolated tornadoes possible, 1-2+" rain by Thursday?) (Minneapolis Star Tribune)

Just 3 days ago we were shivering in heavy jackets, a cold rain (mixed with sleet), one of the more forgettable Saturday's in recent months. Today, if the sun stays out for a few hours around midday we may top 80. Factor in a dew point in the 60-65 F. range, considerable instability and wind shear, and you have the witch's brew of meteorological factors necessary for severe storms, even a handful of tornadoes. We're under a "slight risk"; I do expect watches and warnings later today - stay alert, and be ready to head to a safe shelter (preferably underground) if severe storms threaten. Models hint at 1-2" rain by Thursday night, the soaking we need. Days will be warm and tropical - it may look and feel more like mid-June with highs topping 80 into Thursday, depending on how long the sun is out each day. Today's blog focuses on the severe threat, the potential for (very) significant rain, tornado safety (just in case), tornado tip-offs, soaking, 7"+ rains for parts of Oklahoma, a warmer March than April (?), a record for the least March-April snow on record for Denver, an amazing ...

Minneapolis Star Tribune

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